Operations
30 December 2022
Returns, clearance present post-Christmas upsell opportunities
Record returns and clearance deals are giving brands and retailers a chance to re-engage customers.

Photo by Microsoft Edge on Unsplash
Record returns and clearance deals are giving brands and retailers a chance to re-engage customers.

Holiday shopping gave way to returns season after Christmas, as some people opted to send back the gifts that weren’t quite right.
This year, higher returns have been a trend throughout the holiday season, in part because higher prices due to 40-year-high inflation kept people extra conscious of spending choices.
Salesforce predicted a “returns tsunami,” based on early holiday results. In data released earlier this month, the Commerce Cloud provider projected that 13% – representing $1.4 billion – of online orders will be returned over the holidays, a 57% increase over 2021. In one particularly inflationary behavior, the company found that people were returning one product after finding a better deal on another.
Once gifts are opened, the post-Christmas period is the time when the most items are sent back. There are signs that direct-to-consumer brands are processing higher return volumes this week. Loop, which makes a returns management platform used by Shopify brands such as Allbirds, Chubbies and Brooklinen, saw a 33% increase over 2021. On Monday and Tuesday (12/26-27), the platform saw a record of more than 133,000 returns.
Returns are an inevitable part of retail, as not everything will be a fit once an item is brought home. That is especially true in ecommerce, where brands offer free return policies to provide flexibility to consumers who can’t touch and feel a product before they buy it.
Yet returns have also created logistics and profitability challenges for brands, so they are seeking ways to recoup sales.
One way to do this is to encourage customers to make an exchange rather than simply sending an item back. This holiday season, Loop saw its largest drop in refund rate, which measures how many items are simply sent back. From Q1-Q3 , 71% of returns were refunded. But over the holiday period, the refund rate was 60%.
Returns can also create an upsell moment, as a customer’s interaction with a brand provides an opportunity to peruse other products. On Dec. 26, Loop saw its largest-ever day of upsells from returns, and merchants using the platform made nearly $300,000 in sales from upsells since Christmas.
Returns will happen, so brands should make it count. Treat this post-purchase interaction as another place to build a relationship with a customer.
“Most returns do not happen because a customer dislikes their brand, but rather because they dislike a particular product. A return is a chance for brands to re-engage with customers and repair a broken promise, whether that be a damaged item or one that didn’t look as expected or didn’t fit, Loop SVP of Marketing Tasha Reasor told The Current. “Therefore, it’s important that brands invest in their returns experience, as this will not only save them time and money, but also drive revenue and foster brand loyalty.”The post-holiday period is also typically a time of clearance sales for retailers. At Target, that proved to be an opportunity to create the latest new holiday shopping event.
On Monday, Dec. 26, the retailer kicked off “The Target Clearance Run.” Target promoted deals that included up to 50% off on clothing, shoes, toys, beauty and home décor.
"Our guests always look forward to post-holiday deals, whether they're looking to spend the gift cards they received as a holiday gift, restock their pantries after hosting for the holidays or prepare for a New Year's celebration. 'The Target Clearance Run' is the perfect moment to do just that," said Christina Hennington, executive vice president and chief growth officer at Target, in a statement.
Deal events are a hallmark of the 2022 holiday season. They started early with October holiday kickoff events from Amazon, Target and Walmart. The clearance event shows that peak season is also ending late, as brands and retailers seek to continue delivering deals to price-weary consumers.
Campbell Soup Company CEO Mark Clouse offered thoughts on messaging amid inflationary shifts in consumer behavior.
After months of elevated inflation and interest rate hikes that have the potential to cool demand, consumers are showing more signs of shifting behavior.
It’s showing up in retail sales data, but there’s also evidence in the observations of the brands responsible for grocery store staples.
The latest example came this week from Campbell Soup Company. CEO Mark Clouse told analysts that the consumer continues to be “resilient” despite continued price increases on food, but found that “consumers are beginning to feel that pressure” as time goes on.
This shows up in the categories they are buying. Overall, Clouse said Campbell sees a shift toward shelf-stable items, and away from more expensive prepared foods.
There is also change in when they make purchases. People are buying more at the beginning of the month. That’s because they are stretching paychecks as long as possible.
These shifts change how the company is communicating with consumers.
Clouse said the changes in behavior are an opportunity to “focus on value within our messaging without necessarily having to chase pricing all the way down.”
“No question that it's important that we protect affordability and that we make that relevant in the categories that we're in," Clouse said. "But I also think there's a lot of ways to frame value in different ways, right?”
A meal cooked with condensed soup may be cheaper than picking up a frozen item or ordering out. Consumers just need a reminder. Even within Campbell’s own portfolio, the company can elevate brands that have more value now, even if they may not always get the limelight.
The open question is whether the shift in behavior will begin to show up in the results of the companies that have raised prices. Campbell’s overall net sales grew 5% for the quarter ended April 30, while gross profit margins held steady around 30%. But the category-level results were more uneven. U.S. soup sales declined 11%, though the company said that was owed to comparisons with the quarter when supply chains reopened a year ago and expressed confidence that the category is seeing a longer-term resurgence as more people cook at home following the pandemic. Snacks, which includes Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm, were up 12% And while net sales increased overall, the amount of products people are buying is declining. Volumes were down 7%.
These are trends happening across the grocery store. Campbell is continuing to compete. It is leading with iconic brands, and a host of different ways to consume them. It is following that up with innovation that makes the products stand out. Then, it is driving home messaging that shows consumers how to fit the products into their lives, and even their tightening spending plans.
Campbell Soup is more than 150 years old, and has seen plenty of difficult economic environments. It is also a different business today, and will continue to evolve. At the end of the day, continued execution is what’s required.
“If it's good food, people are going to buy it, especially if it's a great value,” Clouse said.