Want to know how to spend your next $1?
Don’t waste another dime on bloated channel reporting and vanity metrics.
Don’t waste another dime on bloated channel reporting and vanity metrics.
Walmart, Wing and Unilever are broadening the reach of airborne delivery.
(Illustration by The Current)
Welcome to Near Future. In this weekly feature, The Current spotlights innovations powering the next wave of commerce.
On Dec. 2, 2013, Jeff Bezos appeared on 60 Minutes to plant a flag for the future of ecommerce: drone delivery.
As the Amazon founder unveiled the company's delivery drones for CBS cameras, he talked about how they would be key to the company's goal of providing 30-minute delivery. Prime Air hype went into the stratosphere. Yet it’s worth remembering that, during the interview, Bezos did attempt to bring things back to Earth.
“This is early,” he said during the interview. “This is still...years away.”
Later in the interview, Bezos talked about how introducing drone delivery five years might be realistic, even while allowing that he is an optimist. Nearly a decade later, drone delivery isn’t yet a normal part of the ecommerce equation. As is often the case with emerging technologies, there have been plenty of times when results of a test required charting a different course. But companies have continued to invest. Technologists, flight experts, ecommerce professionals and regulators have kept at development, and made progress. In fact, the first half of 2022 is bringing lots of advances. Here’s a look at some of the latest developments:
A Walmart drone in flight. (Courtesy photo)
Walmart’s drone delivery is set to take flight across the country.
This week, the retailer announced plans to expand its DroneUp delivery network to 34 sites in the United States by the end of the year. That means it will have the potential to reach four million households in states including Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Texas, Utah and Virginia.
Walmart’s service will make under-30-minute delivery available between the hours of 8 a.m. and 8 p.m. The fee is $3.99 for items totaling up to 10 pounds.
In testing, Walmart said it expected customers to use the service for emergency items. But the more popular use case has been the convenience it provides. The most-ordered item so far, the company said, is Hamburger Helper.
When it comes to scaling drone delivery, Walmart has a unique advantage. Its roughly 4,700 stores put it within 10 miles of 90% of the population. With thousands of items, these stores already have many things under one roof. With drones, it will add an air traffic control of sorts. To complete these flights, each store will have a team of drone pilots.
Once a shopper clicks “buy,” items are fulfilled in the store, packaged and loaded onto a drone. When they arrive at a dropoff point, they are lowered by cable into a customer’s yard.
Walmart partnered with Virginia Beach-based DroneUp on the service. The retailer invested in the startup early in mid-2021. By late last year, the companies stood up three hubs to test the service in the company’s home state of Arkansas.
With the expansion of Walmart’s network, DroneUp will also make services available to municipalities and businesses for functions like insurance, emergency response and real estate.
This will help to further establish drone-based businesses in these areas.
“Not only will the added revenue help offset the cost of delivery, but it also serves the entire drone industry by gathering more flight data as we work together to expand drone operations in a safe and regulated way,” Walmart wrote.
Walmart’s ambitious expansion means the retailer will have the largest reach of any commerce-driven drone delivery program we've seen to date. That also means it will be the first to learn how it works in wide use, and whether there is broad public uptake beyond the novelty of ordering via drone.
Wing in the air. (Courtesy photo)
Walmart’s announcement came just over a month after Alphabet drone subsidiary Wing announced what was then the largest test of drone delivery in a metro area. In mid-April, the company began delivering items from Walgreens in four suburbs of Dallas, Texas. Operating for customers within a six-mile radius of a store, the company set an ambitious goal to deliver items in 10 minutes or less.
Orders are fulfilled by Walgreens employees, who receive notification on a tablet that an order is in, then locate an item in the store and package it, the companies said. The employees then clip items onto a drone in the parking lot of a store, where they are waiting on charging pads. Wing employees then oversee deliveries, which are made to doorsteps, backyards or another preferred location.
This is a big effort, and there will be plenty of learnings. Chief among them: How drones can optimize for navigating a more complex near-urban area as they deliver packages.
(Photo courtesy of Flytrex)
When it comes to encouraging adoption, providing delivery of an item that people love can help sweeten the deal. That’s the approach Unilever is taking this summer as it provides ice cream delivery via drone in North Carolina and Texas.
The consumer goods company – and self-described largest ice cream maker in the world – is partnering with food-focused drone delivery company Flytrex, which operates in North Carolina towns of Holly Springs, Fayetteville and Raeford, as well as Granbury, Texas.
The drones will deliver via The Ice Cream Shop, an online store from Unilever that carries brands including Ben & Jerry’s, Breyers, Good Humor, Klondike, Magnum ice cream, Popsicle and Talenti.
Once orders are placed using the Flytrex app, deliveries will be made to the front and backyards of residents in under three minutes. Under an FAA waiver, the service is allowed to operate within one nautical mile of a delivery site, putting homes within its reach in the thousands.
This airborne drone delivery is running alongside a separate Unilever pilot offering on-demand ice cream delivery via ground-based autonomous vehicles in Los Angeles.
For now, drone delivery remains in test mode. The Federal Aviation Administration has yet to approve a commercial program, as each of the programs described above are technically operating with special permission.
To be sure, however, the progress of drones is intriguing, and companies have good reason to continue moving forward with testing. Drones stand to take cars off the road and reduce emissions. Plus, if programs grow, they could help reach people in remote areas. If programs were to scale massively, there is also the promise of reducing labor costs.
Drone delivery could solve a key challenge of ecommerce operations: Faster delivery is increasingly expected by consumers, but it gets more complex as scale increases. For a glimpse of the difficulty of launching a large-scale drone program, look no further than Amazon. Its ambitious plans for Prime Air have hit roadblocks such as drone crashes and safety concerns, according to an April report in Bloomberg. Costs are also an issue. Business Insider reported that Amazon's drone delivery is $63 a package, while on-the-ground packages cost $5.50 each. Still, the company intends to complete 2,500 tests this year. Down the road, there may be another big unveiling still to come.The job market continues to hum.
The labor market continued to show strength to start 2023, as the monthly jobs report posted big numbers.
Key data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly jobs report:
The Current’s view: The labor market continues to be an economic outlier. While there are signs of consumer pullback and belt-tightening among tech companies and retailers after months of high inflation, the job picture remains bright. While tech companies and some retailers are cutting back markedly, there are few signs of the widespread “pain” that economists predicted in this indicator of the economy.
What brands and retailers are thinking: Jobs are a major indicator of demand, and the labor market continues to hum along. That means the consumer pullback is tied to choices about discretionary spending and holding off on certain purchases in the face of high prices, moreso than being unable to afford items altogether.
What the Fed is thinking: Here’s more evidence that a soft landing might be possible. The Fed has been raising interest rates to bring down inflation. There is risk that this will slow down the economy, including employment. There was some slowing in job growth in December, but this report indicates labor market softening still hasn’t happened for a sustained period, even as inflation is cooling. After the central bank scaled back its latest interest rate hike to 0.25% on Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he sees a “path” to bringing down inflation without a significant rise in unemployment. Here’s one more piece of data to bolster that belief.
Keep in mind: The labor market is still out of balance between supply and demand. This report shows a big rise in jobs and the labor force participation rate remaining the same. Job openings actually increased in December, the Labor Department found. So there a still the case. Eventually, it will likely have to come into balance. But given the unpredictability of this economic era, it’s tough to know when, or even how.